Online House Hunting

What do you think went wrong with Professor Stefan Szymanski's formula/prediction?

"According to the theory, Serbia will knock out the US, South Korea and Spain to lose in the final to Brazil. " http://www.financialexpress.com/news/formula-a-brazil-vs-serbia-final/627893/ It's doubtful that Serbia will get past the second round, let alone make it to the finals with Brazil. " The rundown of the elements included in the Evolution Securities model reads like a page ripped from the CIA World Factbook: GDP (and breakdown), Unemployment Rate, Jobless claims, Employment, Earnings, Industrial Production and Orders, Productivity, Capacity Utilisation, Capital Expenditure, Personal Income/Savings, CPI, PPI, Money Supply, Mortgage lending, Consumer Credit, House Prices, Housing Activity (New home sales/existing home sales), Construction, Building Permits, Retail Sales, Wholesale Sales, Auto Sales, Durable Goods, Trade Balance, Export & Imports and Export/Import Prices, Capital Flows, TIC Flow, Government deficit/revenue/expenditure, Govt Debt, Survey data, consumer/manufacturing/services confidence, Fed Manufacturing Surveys/Conference Board/ IFO/ZEW, bank lending surveys, Senior Loan Officer Survey, Beige book, Leading Indicators........ and whether or not they are any good at football ..." http://ca.sports.yahoo.com/soccer/blog/sow_experts/post/Clever-economists-pick-Brazil-to-win-the-World-C?urn=sow,244993 Which factors do you think would give Serbia such an advantage over other countries? ΔGoals = 0.18*ΔGDP/capita of US + 0.19*ΔPop (100mill.) - 0.02*ΔPop2 (100mill.) + 0.05*ΔWC Participations + 0.17*ΔBallon d'or nominee - 0.01*ΔFIFA ranking + 1.12*ΔHost - 0.85*ΔAsia/Oceanic/North America @answersaurus~ Nicely said.

Public Comments

1. Ha thats funny, but ya its rubbish:P
2. What went wrong is that the game is played on the field and not in a mathematical formula.
3. anything can happen on the field. You can't calculate will to win